Monitoring student enrollment and estimating future enrollment trends are essential to school planning, and a critical piece in developing a long-range plan. The long-range master plan was informed by enrollment projections by the Applied Population Lab (APL) and MDRoffers Consulting. Historical enrollment data, birth trends, the local housing market, residential development and demographic trends impacting enrollment were studied in order to provide enrollment projections for the next 10 years.
In general, the enrollment projections indicate that enrollment will remain consistent at the middle school and high school levels while significant enrollment growth is projected at the elementary level in the coming years.
Enrollment growth is a good thing for public school districts, where state-level funding is tied to enrollment. The challenge is that each of the district’s elementary schools is currently operating near or over its ideal capacity. The studies referenced above, the most recent of which was conducted in 2019, predict that enrollment will increase by more than 350 students in the next 10 years. Most of this growth is expected at the elementary level. The district has inadequate classroom and core learning space to accommodate these students.
Download a PDF of the 2019 enrollment study report to the board from August 5, 2019, or watch Mark Roffers of MDRoffers Consulting present the findings to the board by watching the video below.