Monitoring student enrollment and estimating future enrollment trends are essential to school planning, and a critical piece in developing a long-range plan. The long-range master plan was informed by enrollment projections by the Applied Population Lab (APL) and MDRoffers Consulting. Historical enrollment data, birth trends, the local housing market, residential development and demographic trends impacting enrollment were studied in order to provide enrollment projections for the next 10 years.
In general, the enrollment projections indicate that enrollment will remain consistent at the middle school and high school levels while significant enrollment growth is projected at the elementary level in the coming years.
Enrollment growth is a good thing for public school districts, where state-level funding is tied to enrollment. The challenge related to that growth is that the enrollment studies that have been competed indicate that all three elementary schools will be at or above capacity in the near future.
Download a PDF of the MDRoffers report to the board from August 5, 2019, or watch Mark Roffers present the findings to the board by watching the video below.